Twitter Earnings Report | Game Plan July 28

The great trading range of 2015 continues…

Maybe the Twitter earnings report and Facebook tomorrow will shake things up for something more than 3 days.

The recent earnings in top NASDAQ stocks have the QQQ showing relative strength to the SPY and the DIA. The major stock market averages are showing signs of distribution with sloppy back-and-forth action.

The only positive news that has held a bid for more than a few days was the Greece story. Yesterday, we said the market would need a few days to absorb the selling in China, so far that was spot-on. We had a choppy directionless day in the stock market. The $208 area is the top of the nearest resistance in the SPY.

If sellers hold that level, we could finally see a break of the $205 support.

July 28 Stock Market Today: Map of the S&P 500

(click the map for a full view)

Twitter Earnings Report

Day Trading Game Plan: The SPY ETF Chart

Indecision int he SPY yesterday was expected after 4 days of selling. Today will be interesting to see if the sellers can hold the $208 (as of 7am we are set to open higher into that level.

(click the chart for a full view)

twitter earnings report

Stocks to Trade | Tuesday July 28, 2015

Pete’s Notes:

  • FOMC tomorrow and FB earnings, the next 2 days will be skittish. Not the tape to execute your B trades. Twitter earnings report is out today as well.
  • Yesterday we called for a lower open and support. Exactly what we got but did not get the rally expected. Looks like we are getting it on today’s open. This will make the first 90 minutes today a tough trade in the indices. We will hit the normal move on the open into resistance at $208.

Interesting Chart Lessons:

Keurig Green Mountain, Inc.

GMCR is showing signs of accumulation after a long slow grind lower. We are starting to see green daily candlesticks with an increase in volume. Stay tuned to the blog for a buy call. Not yet. This price action simply makes the sell short less likely to follow-through.

(click the chart for a full view)

twitter earnings report

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Twitter Earnings Report | Game Plan July 28

What to expect from Twitter’s earnings

With a management change-up and calls for a clear, new strategy, it has been a bumpy road for Twitter since its last earnings report.

Twitter Inc. TWTR, +0.06% is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings after the market closes Tuesday.

Here’s what to expect:

Earnings: Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect Twitter to report adjusted earnings of four cents per share, above two cents per share in the year-earlier period.

Revenue: Twitter is forecast to report sales of $481.5 million, above $312.2 million in the year-earlier period. Sales are expected to break down into $426.4 million from advertising revenue and $53.9 million from data licensing.

Stock Reaction: Shares of Twitter have plummeted 31% in the past three months, while the S&P 500 has fallen 2%. In the past 12 months, shares of Twitter have fallen 9%, while the S&P 500 has gained 4%.

What else to watch for: The key question is how Twitter plans to increase user growth and engagement. Twitter reported its lowest quarterly revenue growth in the first quarter as well as low advertising engagement numbers.

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What’s in Store for Twitter (TWTR) This Earnings Season?

Twitter Inc. (TWTRAnalyst Report) is set to report second-quarter 2015 results on Jul 28. Last quarter, the company posted a positive earnings surprise of 4.76%, leading to an average earnings surprise of 12.80% over the last four quarters.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this quarter.

Factors to Consider

Mobile and international subscriber growth remain vital for Twitter. Additionally, accretive acquisitions and its foray into e-commerce were the other significant positives, which can drive the top line this quarter.

Twitter is benefiting from its increasing mobile user base that is adding to its mobile advertising revenues. Furthermore, the micro-blogging site seems focused on developing its product portfolio in order to attract more advertisers (its primary revenue source).

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